Markets cracked under the weight of geopolitical gravity, tumbling as a storm of hard data misses and Middle East war drums smacked risk appetite into submission.
Iran will be bombed tomorrow by the US. 😞 The pieces are ready (refuelers, B2s, carrier strike groups, a fake excuse). Iran’s crime: existence. They aren’t building a nuke. TACO and Bibi need a distraction and force regime change.
I expect oil to go up $20 to start. Strait will be closed. Gulf War 3.0 will start. Many thousands of civilians will die. The warmongering corporate media will cheer the news.
Russia will benefit financially from higher oil prices. The rise will drag global growth lower.
I am saddened and disheartened by this unjust war. Feel us being close to the stock market peak as I said yesterday. Double top.
Absolutely—flagged it yesterday but still held out hope for a last-minute diplomatic off-ramp. That said, I’ll admit the Neocon hat’s out of the closet… just not fully back on my head yet. I’ve long resisted jumping the shark into full-blown regime-change mode, but let’s be honest—Iran’s been exporting chaos for decades, and letting a theocratic regime stuck in a medieval mindset get their hands on nukes? That’s not a scenario you let play out.
If they refuse to give up enrichment, then neutralize the threat—surgically, not scorched earth. This isn’t about starting another forever war, it’s about preventing Armageddon with precision. I don’t want Trump rushing it solo either—he should hand the wheel to the generals and let them map the most effective strike plan, not tweet it into existence. As for Europe? They’ll watch, issue statements, and quietly brace for the fallout—per usual.
As I said, both regimes are evil. It will be ugly. Both sides are embedding weapons of war in civilian areas. Trust in the US will sink further. Thanks for the responses. I am heading to chill out because the world is stressing me out.
Yes, but do we blame them for acting chaotic after being sanctioned for decades?
Iran’s current regime is evil. Same for Israel. The point is external regime change contradicts international law in favor of jungle rule. And jungle rule, who owns the biggest military, who can impose their will, is bad for the world’s people and capital. Doesn’t matter if it is Russia, Israel, America, or China doing it. Iran was following IAEA rules and signed the NPT. Their efforts were a waste. And it signals to the world why follow the rules if you will get burned. Unilateral war is a chaos multiplier.
TACO is not only saying give up enrichment. He is threatening annihilation of Tehran and total surrender. TACO and Hegseth fired the most competent generals. They lost 3 planes sliding into the sea against the Houthis.
Yes, Europe will watch, because it seems they support Israel’s suicidal regime.
This is going to get ugly, and the ugliness will be a gray or black swan in a world that doesn’t need it.
Sure, sanctions have taken their toll on Iran—but let’s not pretend the regime’s chaos is merely a reaction to Western pressure. Tehran isn’t some hapless victim lashing out in frustration. This is a government that has actively funded and armed proxy militias across half the region, assassinated dissidents abroad, and called for the destruction of other states as a foundational doctrine. That’s not chaos from sanctions—that’s a strategic export of instability.
As for the NPT and IAEA compliance: Iran didn’t just "get burned for following the rules." They pushed the limits of every deal they signed, hid facilities, enriched beyond thresholds, and played for time. The JCPOA wasn't a peace pact; it was a timeout. And the global message isn't “don’t follow the rules”—it’s don’t abuse the rules while building centrifuges in tunnels under mountains and expect impunity.
External regime change is messy, yes—but jungle rule didn’t start with TACO. It started when Iran’s IRGC began operating like a shadow government in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. If multilateral diplomacy leads nowhere and the cost of inaction is a nuclear-armed theocracy with an apocalyptic worldview, then yes—power projection becomes the fallback. It may be ugly, but it’s not irrational.
As for Europe? They’re not passive—they’re paralyzed. Strategic dependence on U.S. military cover and Russian gas made them cheerleaders without a voice. Suicidal? No. But morally compromised and strategically neutered? Absolutely.
And let’s not forget: when a regime embeds weapons in civilian sites and dares the world to act, the ugliness isn’t a swan—it’s a trap. The only chaos multiplier more dangerous than unilateral war is letting the threat metastasize.
Iran will be bombed tomorrow by the US. 😞 The pieces are ready (refuelers, B2s, carrier strike groups, a fake excuse). Iran’s crime: existence. They aren’t building a nuke. TACO and Bibi need a distraction and force regime change.
I expect oil to go up $20 to start. Strait will be closed. Gulf War 3.0 will start. Many thousands of civilians will die. The warmongering corporate media will cheer the news.
Russia will benefit financially from higher oil prices. The rise will drag global growth lower.
I am saddened and disheartened by this unjust war. Feel us being close to the stock market peak as I said yesterday. Double top.
Absolutely—flagged it yesterday but still held out hope for a last-minute diplomatic off-ramp. That said, I’ll admit the Neocon hat’s out of the closet… just not fully back on my head yet. I’ve long resisted jumping the shark into full-blown regime-change mode, but let’s be honest—Iran’s been exporting chaos for decades, and letting a theocratic regime stuck in a medieval mindset get their hands on nukes? That’s not a scenario you let play out.
If they refuse to give up enrichment, then neutralize the threat—surgically, not scorched earth. This isn’t about starting another forever war, it’s about preventing Armageddon with precision. I don’t want Trump rushing it solo either—he should hand the wheel to the generals and let them map the most effective strike plan, not tweet it into existence. As for Europe? They’ll watch, issue statements, and quietly brace for the fallout—per usual.
As I said, both regimes are evil. It will be ugly. Both sides are embedding weapons of war in civilian areas. Trust in the US will sink further. Thanks for the responses. I am heading to chill out because the world is stressing me out.
Yes, but do we blame them for acting chaotic after being sanctioned for decades?
Iran’s current regime is evil. Same for Israel. The point is external regime change contradicts international law in favor of jungle rule. And jungle rule, who owns the biggest military, who can impose their will, is bad for the world’s people and capital. Doesn’t matter if it is Russia, Israel, America, or China doing it. Iran was following IAEA rules and signed the NPT. Their efforts were a waste. And it signals to the world why follow the rules if you will get burned. Unilateral war is a chaos multiplier.
TACO is not only saying give up enrichment. He is threatening annihilation of Tehran and total surrender. TACO and Hegseth fired the most competent generals. They lost 3 planes sliding into the sea against the Houthis.
Yes, Europe will watch, because it seems they support Israel’s suicidal regime.
This is going to get ugly, and the ugliness will be a gray or black swan in a world that doesn’t need it.
Sure, sanctions have taken their toll on Iran—but let’s not pretend the regime’s chaos is merely a reaction to Western pressure. Tehran isn’t some hapless victim lashing out in frustration. This is a government that has actively funded and armed proxy militias across half the region, assassinated dissidents abroad, and called for the destruction of other states as a foundational doctrine. That’s not chaos from sanctions—that’s a strategic export of instability.
As for the NPT and IAEA compliance: Iran didn’t just "get burned for following the rules." They pushed the limits of every deal they signed, hid facilities, enriched beyond thresholds, and played for time. The JCPOA wasn't a peace pact; it was a timeout. And the global message isn't “don’t follow the rules”—it’s don’t abuse the rules while building centrifuges in tunnels under mountains and expect impunity.
External regime change is messy, yes—but jungle rule didn’t start with TACO. It started when Iran’s IRGC began operating like a shadow government in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, and Yemen. If multilateral diplomacy leads nowhere and the cost of inaction is a nuclear-armed theocracy with an apocalyptic worldview, then yes—power projection becomes the fallback. It may be ugly, but it’s not irrational.
As for Europe? They’re not passive—they’re paralyzed. Strategic dependence on U.S. military cover and Russian gas made them cheerleaders without a voice. Suicidal? No. But morally compromised and strategically neutered? Absolutely.
And let’s not forget: when a regime embeds weapons in civilian sites and dares the world to act, the ugliness isn’t a swan—it’s a trap. The only chaos multiplier more dangerous than unilateral war is letting the threat metastasize.